Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.131926 0.154584 0.179535 0.208990 0.242748 0.280166 0.324716
2026-02-08 0.091720 0.121408 0.157740 0.205184 0.265182 0.338181 0.433332
2026-02-15 0.067888 0.098719 0.139609 0.197195 0.275477 0.377347 0.518952
2026-02-22 0.058198 0.091281 0.138063 0.207979 0.308498 0.446217 0.647195
2026-03-01 0.046746 0.078688 0.126623 0.202266 0.316676 0.480815 0.730905
2026-03-08 0.037737 0.067857 0.115616 0.194832 0.320282 0.507856 0.804839
2026-03-15 0.031346 0.059932 0.107622 0.190409 0.327083 0.539161 0.886617
2026-03-22 0.027644 0.055855 0.105104 0.194118 0.346534 0.590806 1.003019
2026-03-29 0.025289 0.053741 0.105503 0.202523 0.374161 0.657243 1.147587
2026-04-05 0.022656 0.050615 0.103587 0.206465 0.394322 0.712842 1.278554
2026-04-12 0.019993 0.046941 0.100091 0.206971 0.408254 0.758793 1.396565
2026-04-19 0.017623 0.043442 0.096392 0.206520 0.420152 0.801827 1.512329
2026-04-26 0.015294 0.039669 0.091729 0.203832 0.427993 0.839031 1.622153
2026-05-03 0.013221 0.036096 0.086978 0.200391 0.434062 0.873610 1.730234
2026-05-10 0.011124 0.032037 0.080554 0.192598 0.430610 0.890066 1.806204
2026-05-17 0.010609 0.031824 0.082636 0.203157 0.465098 0.980590 2.026046
2026-05-24 0.009111 0.028748 0.077668 0.197565 0.465518 1.005320 2.122754
2026-05-31 0.007734 0.025701 0.072284 0.190288 0.461484 1.020711 2.202152
2026-06-07 0.006705 0.023410 0.068395 0.185959 0.463311 1.047802 2.306165
2026-06-14 0.006173 0.022483 0.067852 0.189589 0.483192 1.113313 2.491496
2026-06-21 0.005883 0.022254 0.069115 0.197816 0.514287 1.204400 2.734704
2026-06-28 0.005442 0.021442 0.068677 0.201676 0.535527 1.275954 2.941897
2026-07-05 0.004924 0.020259 0.067023 0.202172 0.548788 1.331135 3.118091